The tallest of them all - emailed to subscribers
Sat, 02 Dec 2006

Can they get any taller ?

Make a mental note on this one though, the tallest constructions that interest us as an indicator for the turning of the cycle is a speculative construction venture, ie, the builder is using a bank loan - credit - to build a commercial building to be tenanted. Even better if the tallest to be built is 100 per cent financed by credit, on spec, that is construction starts without any confirmed tenants yet. That's a real sign of easy money.

This one may not be in such a category. Indeed may even be partially (or perhaps wholly) government backed and financed.

Nevertheless, interesting timing.

These days, we could watch for other, similar types of events too:

- world's largest luxury cruise ship for example: world's largest due for completion 2009. (cruise ships are for fun and pleasure, and built when people have plenty of money...)

- world's largest playgrounds / fair ground attractions: one due for completion in Shanghai, 2008, based on the design of the London Eye. I have detailed this in previous emails.

- Mausoleums: watch the baby-boomers as they age and build monuments to themselves upon death to immortalize themselves. There is a movement in the US gaining ground called 'six feet up and not six feet under', designing thumping great works for burial chambers. This happened last in the rail road age as those who made a bucket from the real estate / rail-road speculation wanted themselves remembered for eternity.

Ironically, most were remembered for what they did, not how they were buried. (Like Vanderbilt, when asked about the welfare of his railroad passengers replied something like: 'passengers, who gives a @#$% about passengers'.)

The tallest of them all

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