The French government was forced yesterday to bow to market pressure
regarding tech infrastructure listed companies and slash the asking
price for G3 spectrum. More important though, they extended the
ownership rights to 20 years, was 15. That's important, it is the same
as what used to happen in the time of the railroads and land grants; the
rail companies made far more profits collecting the land rent from land
given to them for free by the govt, than actually carrying passengers or
freight.
The move is also akin to what banks have to do in land induced
recessions, write off the value of the bad loans (credit created), loans
made mostly against land value that ends up lower than the value of the
outstanding loan. Once again such bank action usually is picked up by
the markets as a positive sign and usually marks one of the low points
of the recession.
Governments rarely give in until the last moment, same for banks - but I
am having trouble seeing the market as having bottomed yet when the S&P
500 yesterday hit a p/e of 36; a record high. The market has never in
its history been this expensive. Now either companies have to increase
earnings to match the expectations, or the market price has to fall. (Or
coy profits are being falsely reported on the high side, making
comparisons to earlier years meaningless.)