And i would like to talk about the uses of astrology....
inquiring and open minds are needed, always, which is why Gann disguised
his references to this style of thinking.
All the shah's men. Read it yet ?
Personally though, if the US military want something to stay secret, it
stays secret. Leaks are mostly deliberate, for political reasons.
However, this is coming from Seymour Hersch, gives me pause for thought...
Just as a note on this, as I said to you all those months ago after the
event, remember we count off 9/11, 30, 45, 60, 72 and
90 months. We also start a count of 7/7/05 now, plus 30 months, takes
us to Jan 4 2008. Key emotional time frames.
The US reminder of what it could do - deliberate leaks in my view -
about Iran developing the bomb (war, invasion etc via newspaper quotes
[and again, I have to remind you to read All the Shah's Men for a great
account of how government interests used the media for exactly that
purpose just about 60 years ago]) has interesting timing in addition to
the nuclear timing alluded to last email. Add 180 weeks to any date
this month and it takes you to Dec 2009 / Jan 2010. That is 360 months
exactly from the Iranian hostage crisis (began Nov 4 1979 and lasted 444
days - itself a very good Gann number) that Jimmy carter had to deal
with. The present drama now is telling us to expect drama at this
future time, guaranteed. It's a timing thing you can bank on. 180 is
an absolutely key time frame in anything. I hope you can see how you can
use such numbers to forecast quite accurately. We can of course, do it
the other way by taking that thirty year anniversary and deduct 180
weeks. Exactly what you should do in the market off every major high and
It is all just a circle.
Do note - we are out on a limb here - it is established academic and
economic religion that the future is random and cannot be forecast.
(The philosopher Karl Popper and his theories [The poverty of
Historicism he called it] rule academia on this one.) So we will just
stay quiet about it all for the present and continue using the circle to
make good profits in the market shall we not ?
Which brings us to the more important bit...
I said to you some years ago, and indeed forwarded to you then, an essay
on oil timing looking back to its birth date in 1859, and counting
forward in the usual 30 60 90 format. We concluded that the year 2009
would bring significant oil emotion. Note the oil highs this month.
180 weeks from late December 2009. Though I think October 2009 will be
the date to watch maybe. Regardless, 2009 should see major price extremes.
The oil market is telling you in advance what it is going to do, I am
telling you to prepare for it. All markets work the same.
all good K-wave stuff, he was good Kondratieff. Human stupidity (read
paranoia in this instance from Stalin) that sent him to the salt mines
for simply supplying his opinion is so incredibly sad... How is it we
allow these leaders to get away with it. Speaking of which, I had
occasion to review human atrocities over the past century with the SBS
programme on the Armenian Genocide by the Turks, starting 1908
culminating in horrific events of 1915. As it happened after that:
30 years later, Nazi's against the Jews, around 1938 culminating 1945
when most of it was uncovered,
30 years later, Pol Pot, 1975 (the killing fields of Cambodia lasted
officially 3 years, 8 months and 20 days, put another way that is 1355
days, or 180 weeks plus 90 days exactly.)
In anyone's language, they would have to be the three worst - only -
officially defined genocides of the 20th century. All based on
religious differences. So perhaps it is not surprising the events
currently, Dharfur and perhaps Iraq: religious hatred. Good men will do
good things, evil men will do evil things. But it takes religion to get
good men to do evil things.
another example of why charts always have the news built in before
it is public.
he has just completed installing the most sophisticated laws possible to
allow his security services to look, listen and peep into almost every
facet of Australian life if he chooses to, but can then turn around and
suggest the AWB wheat cables detailing Iraqi kickbacks, well he didn't
see them. Yeah right. I think this is the lowest I have ever seen any
politician anywhere in the world go. He's a champion of mediocraty is
our PM - challenging all Australians to be average...
Imagine if I ran my classes that way ! Aspire to greatness guys,
always. And if you do ever make a mistake, admit it and learn. But it
confirms much of what I try to show in classes about events within the
real estate cycle. Generally, the only things that can bring about a
change of Federal governments in any society where land value is
enclosed is either government mismanagement, blatant financial
corruption, or a land price downturn. The next land price downturn is
due after 2009. See, where land value is enclosed, wages will be low,
and taxes high. So the only way Joe and Jane average can get ahead is
through rises in their house (land) value. So when it is seen that this
will decline in future, rather than go up, Joe and Jane get angry.
I hope you are following the news of the Westpoint group collapse
(mezzanine financing) this time owing 4000 investors $320 million.
There was an excellent report in the AFR, Friday April 7 if you can be
bothered to refer back to it. Easy credit. Early days yet, and a drop
in the bucket so far, but it is revealing the money that is going into
these schemes, and of course where the herd money is going now. Do the
I have scanned for you a copy of AFR article on low-doc loans: bankers
doing their job making as many loans (creating credit remember) as
possible to increase profit. The higher land price goes, the more
originality of design they have to show to allow affordability of the
loan by borrowers. (AFR March 21)
Scanned also, another sign of the times, luxury car buying. (AFR Feb
24) This process won't stop tomorrow, and will be another several years
in the making. Admittedly it is a news article, and not at all
scientific, however continues the circumstantial confirmation for me of
the continuing boom for real estate for a while yet. I reckon the
higher the market goes, the more it can attract the mum and dad's to the
fever, the better the brokers go, the more the bankers make (margin
loans,fatter profits) and we repeat again don't we...
The latest Chinese Premier Hu in the USA, brings back memories of the
last one to visit. One of the senior translators at that time was Wendy
Deng, privy to much of the high level conversations that went on. Old
Rupert scooped her up just a little later, just after all the hassle he
had with the Chinese when Rupert's publishing coy was publisher of a
book highly critical of the Chinese, divorcing his wife of many years
for Wendy not long after receiving a medal from the Pope for services to
catholicism. Gotta laugh. Just after that Newscorp did rather well
with a few govt granted Chinese broadcasting licenses as I recall.
a final point some of you may find of interest:
Robert Kiyosaki has had plenty of success with his Rich Dad Poor Dad
stuff. Personally I thought the books worth a read. It is always good
though to read opposing points of view to help see other people's angles
- I hope i explained that okay and you know what I mean. Anyway, for
some interesting analysis of the Kyosaki phenomenon (seems he is not all
he appears to be) I refer you to the following (and thanks to the person
that passed it on to me)
Luxury Car Sales
Low Doc Loans